Is there any way to tell if a Pokemon is about to run away or is prone to running away?
Over the last few days I've had a few Pokemon run away while I was trying to catch them. Sometimes a Pokemon runs away after a few tries while others go for much longer. I have berries now so I can try to keep around longer, but I don't know if and when a Pokemon will run away.
Is there a a way to tell when Pokemon are about to run away or are more likely to run away?
Best Answer
Every species has a probability of running away. Just look for BaseFleeRate in the decoded game file. A Pokémon with BaseFleeRate of 0.99 (like Abra) has 99% probability to run away after an unsuccessful throw, whereas a Metapod with BaseFleeRate 0.07 is much more likely to stick around while you waste your PokéBalls perfecting the curve ball.
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How do you know when Pokémon will run?
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Answer 2
The current answers are outdated. Now Pokemon Go stops you from throwing Pokeballs or using Berries when a Pokemon is about to run away.
The only way to predict how likely a Pokemon is to run is by its base flee rate, which is set for each Pokemon. As a general but not hard-set rule, rarer and harder to catch Pokemon have lower base flee rates, not higher as what Wolfe's answer suggests. Here's a list of flee rates current as of Gen 3. Note that the flee rates are irrelevant for raid and research Pokemon; only when encountered in the wild.
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